Notes on Coronavirus Trends

How can we open our economy when fewer than 2% of all Americans have even been tested?

There’s a disturbing notion going around right now. A lot of folks seem to think that because a few major COVID-19 hotspots are past their peak — or close to that point — we’re ready to open up the U.S. economy, get back to work, and get things back to normal.

The people saying this are obviously out-of-touch with reality.

Don’t get me wrong. I’d love things to go back to normal. Part of my income comes from selling the jewelry I make at art shows. I’ve already had four shows cancelled — Borrego Springs in California in March, Art Under the Elms in Idaho and Apple Blossom Days in Wenatchee in April, and the Guild B Art Show in Chelan in September. I’m on the calendar for Leavenworth’s Village Art in the Park for two weekends in May, including the exceedingly profitable Memorial Day Weekend, but I suspect they’ll be cancelled, too. And even my helicopter business took a hit: the big airport event in June where I do hundreds of rides with one or two other pilots was cancelled. So yes, this is hurting my bottom line a bit, although admittedly not as much as the folks who have lost their primary (or sole) source of income because of business closures. (My main business is agricultural flying and that’s still essential here.)

But let’s be real here. Despite the constant steam of misleading information coming out of the White House multiple times a week, the U.S. is far behind many other countries with its testing for COVID-19. Just the other, the new official liar press secretary claimed on Twitter that over 4 million Americans had been tested. There are two problems with this:

  • It doesn’t jive with the numbers being reported on the far more trustworthy Johns Hopkins COVID-19 Dashboard, which is updated throughout the day every day for every country on earth. As the White House was claiming “over 4 million,” Johns Hopkins reported 3.7 million.
  • The percentage tested — even if it were 4 million — is still less than 2% of the total U.S. population of 331 million people.

One of the more insidious traits of COVID-19 is that a person can be infected and not show any symptoms. Or just show minor symptoms. So they could be walking around, infecting people around them without even knowing they’re sick.

And get this: under the rules in place in the U.S., these people don’t even qualify for testing!

Indeed, you have to be pretty sick to get tested, which is probably why nearly 20% of those tested actually have the virus and nearly 5% of those people die from it.

Wondering where I got those numbers? They’re from Johns Hopkins with a little extra math applied. I built a spreadsheet yesterday and will try to update it daily. Here’s what I have so far:

Covid Math
Percentage testing can only rise as we test more people, but I’d like to see it over 50% and we have a long way to go. I color coded (using conditional formatting) the other two percentages; green is good and red is bad.

My little spreadsheet doesn’t just offer numbers. It calculates percentages and identifies trends. The way I see it, we want the percentage of population tested to rise, the percentage of confirmed cases to drop, and the percentage of deaths among confirmed cases to drop.

Based on this data, we’re not even close to opening the country for business again.

The only way we will be ready is if we #TestEveryone, quarantine those who have the virus, and trace those people’s contacts to ensure they’re tested and, if necessary, quarantined, too. We need to keep those who carry the virus away from the general public and the only way we can do that is to (again) #TestEveryone.

So as much as I’d like to set up my show tent in Leavenworth for Mother’s Day weekend next month, I’m hoping that the U.S. can do what it needs to do to get this virus under control before then. And with the amount of misinformation and finger pointing coming out of the White House, I seriously doubt that will happen anytime soon.

Taming My Shed

I add a custom permanent storage solution to my garden shed.

Folks who have reading this blog for a while or know me know that I have a very big garage. But it wasn’t the first of the three (so far) buildings on my property. The first was a wooden storage shed.

A Short History of the Shed at My Property

I got the shed back in 2013, not long after I’d bought the 10 acres I subsequently built my home on. I was living in my old fifth wheel back then, the “Mobile Mansion,” which was fully hooked up to 30 amp power, city water, and a brand new septic system. I had everything I needed until I was ready to built — everything except nearby storage. My extra vehicles and household possessions were stored in a hangar at the airport with my helicopter. It was a 30-40 minute drive (depending on how I drove) and not at all convenient for larger items I might need around the property. The Mobile Mansion had a decent sized “basement,” but it just wasn’t big enough, considering I had to clear it out to install heaters down there for the winter.

As the blog post I linked to above details, I got a smoking deal on the shed and it was perfect for my needs. They installed it on the south side of my driveway, not far from my electrical box. I wasted no time assembling IKEA shelves I had from my old house inside it to make the best of its 6 x 8 foot space. I moved a bunch of yard stuff in there for the winter.

Fast forward to the following spring when I started prepping to build my home. My favorite dirt guy, Jeff, used various heavy equipment to prepare a building site by leveling and compacting soil. While he was there with all that equipment, I asked him to clear a space for my garden and future chicken yard and relocate my shed to the other side of the driveway. This turned out to be a lot easier than I expected. The shed was heavy-duty and built on skids. Once he was able to attach chains around it, he was able to drag it across the driveway and nudge it into position. We even got it relatively level.

The shed became the “safe place” for a series of barn cats I got from the local Humane Society. They had a program to rescue feral cats. They’d catch them and neuter them and then send them home with people who had mouse problems. Although I didn’t have a mouse problem, I had a snake problem. Snakes eat mice. I figured I’d get rid of the mice — or at least reduce the mouse population — and I should reduce the number of snakes. The program required a safe place the cats could easily access to escape predators. So I put a cat door in the shed, set it up for cat occupation, and did what I had to care for feral cats. The experiment, which involved five cats over two years, was a failure, mostly because the cats didn’t like being chased by my dog, Penny, and eventually moved out. One of them — Black Bart — lives at the local winery and I heard rumors that another was also still in the neighborhood. I don’t know about the rest.

(I subsequently solved the problem by adopting two kittens and raising them with Penny. They became friends and didn’t run off. By that time, I wanted them in my garage so I put a second cat door there. One of them occasionally uses the cat door into the shed.)

Over time, the shed did what sheds do: it collected all kinds of yard junk: flower pots, chicken feed bags, chicken coop bedding, rakes, shovels, insecticides, weed killer, fertilizers, irrigation supplies — you get the idea. If it was remotely related to gardening or chicken maintenance, it went into the shed. The shelves became crowded. Mice moved in. Soon it became difficult to open the door, let alone find anything that might be in there.

It was time for me to do something about it.

The Big Shelf Build

Last week, I was in a shelving state of mind. For over a year, I’d been wanting to clear out a 12×12 section of my garage, build shelves against one wall, remove some flimsy IKEA shelves, and move my table saw and chop saw in. I ordered the lumber and picked it up. One afternoon, I started building an 8x8x2 shelf unit. I built it in place so I wouldn’t need help lifting or moving it. It was great to get it done.

Wood Shop
Here’s a pano — hence the distortion — image of the new wood cutting area in my garage. The shelves are brand new but match another set I built years ago in the back 12×12 corner of the garage: sturdy and functional, but not necessarily attractive.

I purposely bought too much lumber. (In my world, you can never have enough 2x4s.) I had also bought a bunch of 2x2s for another garage project. And I had all kinds of scrap lumber from other projects. So I had everything I needed to build shelves in the shed, including that state of mind.

Shed Junk
Hard to believe that all of this was inside the shed. Believe it or not, only 10% of it was stuff I could throw out; I needed everything else.

The first step, of course, was to clear everything out of the shed. I went over to take a look on Thursday afternoon and, before I could stop myself, I’d begun pulling stuff out. Within an hour, I had everything outside on the driveway. I’d also evicted at least six mice and used my big ShopVac to suck pounds of dirt, mouse droppings, and cat crap — remember the barn cats? — out. Clean slate.

Shed Left Shed Right
It’s difficult to take a photo of such a small space, but here’s the left and right side of the shed from the doorway.

The Tool Corral
My slightly oversized “tool corral” is where I can keep long handled yard tools organized and out of the way.

I’d already decided to move the garden tools — shovels, rakes, hoes, etc. — off the beat up rack on the back wall (which was the first to be thrown away) and into a “corral” on the right side, behind the door which, for reasons I’ll never understand, opens in.

I then went to work on the shelves that would cover the back wall. I needed a design that gave me lots of shelf space, but also a bit of working area, like a workbench. I needed space underneath to store bags of chicken feed and coop bedding. I also needed space to park my small brush mower, which was taking up too much space in my garage. I came up with a design that had a lower shelf on half the wall, a relatively high, wide counter-like shelf, and two shelves above that. The lower two shelves were about 2 feet deep while the upper two shelves were only a foot deep. I used my jig saw to cut out the shapes of the shed studs so the deep shelves went all the way back to the wall, limiting the possibility of things falling down to the floor.

The work went slowly with lots of walking back and forth between the shed and my garage where my saws were. On Friday, my FitBit knockoff recorded over 8,000 steps.

I got the lower shelves done on Thursday. I’d made them by measuring up from the floor but, for some reason, the shelves weren’t level. I told myself a half dozen times that this was just a shed and it didn’t matter and eventually I believed it. But I figured I’d get the upper shelves right by measuring up from the top shelf in one spot and using a level to set the shelves in place. I soon realized that they looked really off. What the hell was going on? The answer was simple; one side of the shed had settled after it was moved and it was no longer level. So the shelves, when they were empty, looked like something out of a Dali sketch.

When the shelves were done and my power strip was relocated away from its space beneath the window — what was I thinking with that original placement? — I started putting stuff away. Neatly. I brought plastic shoeboxes I had in the garage out, labeled them, and sorted various things into them.

ShelvesLeft Shelves Right
Here are the upper shelves, neatly organized.

Mower Corner
My mower fit easily into the corner on the left. Easy in, easy out.

Storage Corner
The lower shelves and storage space on the right holds my bin full of irrigation parts and other large items.

Tool Corral Update

I updated the tool corral area, too, by adding hooks over it for rolled up hoses and a few power tools that could be hung there.


As you might imagine, I was very pleased with the way it turned out. Best of all, I’d gotten all that junk back off my driveway.

Now I just need to figure out what to do with those old IKEA shelves.

Dealing with a Craig’s List Scammer

I kept this clown on the hook for nearly 45 minutes by pretending I didn’t understand his instructions.

I use Craig’s List extensively when I need to get rid of things. I’ve found that if something has any value at all and you put it on Craig’s List for free, you can get rid of it quickly — often the same day.

Yesterday, I placed an ad to get rid of the dozen or so wooden pallets I’d collected over the years. I used to build things with them, but I’ve since found alternative building materials. I’d like to get rid of these and I’d prefer not to burn them (although I will if they’re not gone by next week).

Pallets, All Different Sizes (Malaga)

I have about a dozen pallets in all different sizes that I no longer need. Come and take them away. Bring a truck and a friend to help you move them. Text me for the address and availability. I cannot hold any pallets so please do not text until you are ready to come.

Pallets for Sale
Here are two of the pallets that have to go this spring. I saved the rotor blades to use as a decoration but they’re so damn heavy I can’t work with them alone. For the right price, they could be yours!

I included photos of a bunch of pallets, including the one my old rotor blades are lying across. I used that as the primary image, figuring it would get people’s attention. (And maybe someone would be interested in buying those old blades.)

Scammer 2
This is my entire conversation with the second scammer. He caught on when either I didn’t ask any questions or he couldn’t send the code.

The scam texts began within 15 minutes. There were two scammers on this one, but the second one gave up pretty quick. The first one, however, really thought he had a live one on the line and was very persistent. He kept at it until he finally figured it out — after about 40 minutes of texting back and forth with me.

Sample Link
Here’s an example of a “verification” text I got from a scammer last month. I’ve since blocked that source number. Do not try to open that link.

Let me start by explaining the scam. The scammer poses as a buyer who really wants the merchandise but needs to “verify” me. He does this by sending me a code that looks like it’s coming from Google. It comes from a different phone number and has two parts: a six digit number and a shortened link. Although they usually ask for the code — which is right there — what they seem to really want is for you to click the link. I can only assume it does something nefarious, like install malware on your device. I’m not dumb enough to click links from strangers (and you shouldn’t be, either).

Apparently, last month after dealing with a few of these, I blocked the number that sends the link. This makes it impossible for the scammers to send me that text message. The first guy, as you’ll read below, tried hard to get another phone number from me to send that code to. I played him as long as I could. The first guy gave up right away, as you can see in the screen shot above.

For your reading pleasure, here’s the complete exchange between Scammer #1 and me. I have not masked his phone number because it’s likely spoofed or from a burn phone anyway. I wouldn’t call it if I were you. Note that every time he sends a question mark by itself (?), it’s because I’m taking too long to reply.

5035062063:
I want to buy ”Pallets, all different sizes ” Is it available?

Maria Langer:
They’re free. Come get them.

5035062063:
Ok, right now I will send a verification code. The code proves that you are real person and your post is real.Now I send the code?

Maria Langer:
Sure. Go ahead.

5035062063:
Opps.Your number is not accepted this code.Do you have another cell phone number?

Maria Langer:
Nope.

5035062063:
Please try to give me another cell phone number.

Maria Langer:
Nope.

5035062063:
You can use your anyone cell phone number for this verification.
??
Please try to give me another cell phone number.Because I want to try again.

Maria Langer:
I don’t have another number.

5035062063:
So give me another cell phone number of those who around you.

Maria Langer:
There’s nobody around me. We are social distancing here.

5035062063:
So contact someone then send me their number.

Maria Langer:
Why would I do that?

5035062063:
Because The verification code is very important for our safety.

Maria Langer:
I won’t hurt you. In fact, I’ll stay inside while you pick them up.

5035062063:
Its ok, Now try to send give me a cell phone number
You can use anyone cell phone number for this verification.

Maria Langer:
I told you I don’t have another cell phone number.

5035062063:
You can use your family members phone number.

Maria Langer:
You mean like my sister’s?

5035062063:
Yeah, Anyone.

Maria Langer:
But my sister lives in Kansas. How will that help me here? [Note: My sister does not live in Kansas.]

5035062063:
I will send a code to her number. Then send me back the code. Its very simple.
?

Maria Langer:
But she’s at work. I don’t wanna bother her.

5035062063:
You can use your friends phone number.

Maria Langer:
But my friends aren’t here.
Why can’t you just use my number? It works fine! You’re using it now.

5035062063:
No problem call him,

Maria Langer:
Call who?

5035062063:
Call your friend and send me number

Maria Langer:
What number? Do you know my friend?

5035062063:
No. I just use for verification,

Maria Langer:
I don’t understand. You sent a verification code to my friend? How do you know his number? I thought you were going to send it to my sister?

5035062063:
OK give me any number

Maria Langer:
But you have my number.

5035062063:
Your number is not working. So give me your friend or sisters number.
Your number is not working. So give me your friend or sisters number.

Maria Langer:
My number works fine. We’ve been texting on it this whole time!

5035062063:
But not working for code

Maria Langer:
Maybe the code is broken.
?
Did you try again?
Oh, come on! Let’s keep playing! My twitter friends are really enjoying this! 🤣

5035062063:
fuck off

Maria Langer:
lol! Wasted 45 minutes of your day. Sucker!!!

I should mention here that while this was going on, I was working in my yard. I did some weeding and hedge trimming and spread some weed and feed on my lawn. He waited while I did these things, responding almost immediately each time I texted him back — like he was waiting for me. So it didn’t take up much of my time but did take up 45 minutes of his.

As Bugs Bunny would say, “What a maroon.” (Google it.)

When Retailers’ Coronavirus Policies Do More Harm than Good

My take on two examples of virus protection theater.

I went to two retail stores yesterday and saw both good and bad. The good was mostly on the part of customers; the bad (or dumb, at least) was mostly on the part of the retailers. I’ll try to keep this brief.

At Fred Meyer Supermarket

I do my grocery shopping early in the day when the supermarket is least crowded here. My local Fred Meyer has a “vulnerable person” shopping hour most mornings from opening at 7 AM to 8 AM. I don’t consider myself in that category — too young and not “at greater risk” — so I try to get there just after 8 AM.

I should mention here that I would use Fred Meyer’s curbside pickup service, but ordering my groceries and then waiting 2 to 3 days to pick them up just doesn’t work for me — especially since I invariably remember other things I need and can’t add them to my checked out (but not paid for) cart.

Yesterday I came prepared with disposable gloves and a homemade face mask. I was thrilled to see about half the other early shoppers also wearing masks and/or gloves. I was disappointed to see that the only store employee wearing a mask was the woman making sushi.

But the thing that bugged me? The fact that even after handling all of my groceries and the groceries and possibly cash and coupons from previous customers, the cashier refused to pack my reusable shopping bags. Apparently, this is a store policy. It’s okay for her to use her germy hands to pack my groceries in a dozen flimsy plastic store bags, but not okay for her to use the same germy hands to pack my bag because it might have — get this — germs on it.

Oh, and get this: she was wearing gloves.

And no, she wasn’t putting on a fresh pair of gloves between customers. Or after handling money.

And when I pointed all this out to her, trying to be as friendly as possible about it, she got very defensive. “Store policy,” she told me. “It protects me.” To which I wanted to reply “bullshit,” but kept my mouth shut. She’s on the front lines, after all. I hope she doesn’t really think that one pair of gloves that she wears all day long are protecting her.

So on my way out I stopped at the service desk to make two points:

  • First was a request that every employee in the store who handles food or money wear a mask. I think that suggestion was well received.
  • Second, was the point that the customer bag thing made no sense for the reasons I outlined above. “Store policy,” I was told. 🙄

Hey, Fred Meyer? How about giving this some real thought instead of engaging in virus protection theater?

At Home Depot

Last week, I ordered an odd tool from the Home Depot website. To save on the cost of shipping, I had it delivered to the store for pickup. I assumed — incorrectly, apparently — that it would be put on a truck to the store and get there within a few days. So when I went to pick up a lumber order, I was surprised that it wasn’t already there.

About that pickup last week. I went to the special orders desk where I waited on line behind another customer. Large empty bins had been set up in front of the counter so customers couldn’t get right up to it. I waited at least six feet behind the person there. When it was my turn, I stepped right up. I then waited at least 20 minutes for the two women there to get my order up on one of the three computers. This required them to laugh a lot about how slow the computers were, restart the computers one by one, use the intercom to call a lumber department guy, and use the phone to call someone who apparently knew how to use the computers they had been put in front of. Yes, my lumber order was ready but no, that tool had not arrived. That meant a second trip to the store. Okay.

That second trip to the store came yesterday. I immediately noticed a change in the front entrance. They’d put cones and tape out to funnel all customers into a narrow channel. We’d have to get our carts elsewhere; fortunately, I didn’t need one. A woman at the end of the funnel asked me if I needed to go to the service desk. When I said yes, she escorted me away from the mouth of the funnel and into a holding area with a chain across it to prevent me from wandering out. “I have to make sure there’s less than four people at the counter,” she told me.

Okay.

She went into the front of the store and yelled in. Someone yelled back. She came out and opened the hook on the chain to let me out of my pen. I walked into the store. There were no customers at the counter.

Okay.

It was the same woman at the desk who’d laughed about the slow computers the previous week. I gave her my name. I had to do it twice. (Langer, which I said and spelled, is apparently difficult for some people. Six whole letters, after all.) She finally found my order. It was in a padded UPS envelope.

I gawked. “They sent it UPS?” I asked.

“Yes.”

“Why didn’t they just send it to me?”

“You asked for store pickup, didn’t you?”

This blew my mind. Home Depot was shipping to its own stores by UPS without charging me anything for the shipment when they could just as easily send it to me to save me time and save their staff the bother of dealing with me and my (potential) germs.

I signed the keypad with a gloved hand, then tucked the envelope under my arm and headed back the way I’d come, to the door just 15 feet away.

“You can’t go out this way!” two women shouted almost in unison. “You have to go around to the main exit.”

“But the door is right here,” I said. “This is the way I came in.”

A third woman joined in. She was apparently the manager. I don’t remember exactly what she said, but she wasn’t going to let me exit through that door. Instead, she expected me to walk through the entire front of the store, past unmasked customers and staff, through the checkout area with more people in it, to go out a different door.

And have I mentioned that there were no customers at all near the entrance door I wanted to use? The door just 15 feet away?

An argument ensued with me pointing out the stupidity of what they were asking me to do. Honestly, I should have gone through anyway. What would they have done? Tackled me to the ground? But I walked where they told me to, holding my breath for most of the way, and left the store, likely for the last time.

Fortunately, we have a Lowes in town and I had a good experience with a lumber pickup from them two weeks ago. (I just ordered 100 edging stones from Lowes for pickup later this week. I know there won’t be any bullshit.)

So after spending at least $30,000 in my local Home Depot since 2013 — building supplies, appliances, cabinets, countertops, gardening supplies — I’m making the switch to Lowes. I have zero tolerance for stupidity and this was the apex of stupidity.

Virus Protection Theater

Making up stupid rules about shopping bags and special entrances is nothing more than virus protection theater. I equate it to the TSA not allowing more than 3.4 ounces of liquid in a container through security. The rule looks good and might sound good with their explanations, but when you think about the reality of it, it’s downright idiotic and can do more harm than good.

If you’re a retailer looking for ways to protect your employees and customers, it’s pretty simple:

  • Provide cloth masks for your employees. (Leave the N95s for hospital staff and emergency medical workers.) Encourage, though the use of signs, your customers to wear cloth masks, too.
  • Encourage, and where necessary, enforce a 6-foot rule for spacing between employees and customers. Reminder signs and floor markings where people line up should be enough.
  • Prevent crowds in your store by, if necessary, limiting the number of people who enter. (I can only assume that’s what Home Depot’s fancy funnel was all about and I have to wonder who’s going to keep track of how many people are inside.)

That’s a good start. Don’t make stupid rules — don’t engage in virus protection theater.